Hi Thank you for answering the questions in module 1 We are now ready to move onto module 2: 1 Basic risk reduction concepts 2 The calculation of maximum lots and splitting of trading capital 3 3 strategies for using maximum lots with examples At the end of this module we will be asking you questions about the content covered to ensure that you are ready for the last module where all the concepts are combined into a money management strategy. Please complete these questions and should your answers indicate that you are ready for the next module, the webpages for that module will be forwarded to you. We hope you are enjoying the course and look forward to your feedback. Kind Regards Expert4x |
SPLITTING YOUR TRADING CAPITAL INTO A CAPITAL PORTION AND A TRADING ACCOUNT PORTION Our approach to trading is based on the management of risk. If you have an amount of money you want to use for Forex trading, say $ 10 000, it would be prudent not to have this entire amount in 1 account. You should only be exposing your trades to between 5% and 10% of total money. If we were to expose our trading to 10% of our total money we would create 2 accounts: 1. a Capital account with $ 9000 and 2. a Trading account with $ 1000. The capital account is the part of your capital you do not want to expose to risk while trading. You would therefore have a separate account where you keep the 90% of your capital in an account that is not exposed to trading risk. This account could be another account with the same broker or an interest bearing account with a financial institution. The main objective of this separate account is to firstly safe guard you money and secondly have some where to transfer your gains to or to top up your loss from. The whole idea is to use the following process (which will become clearer as we go on): 1. When you double the amount in your trading account (the one with say 10% of your money) you would transfer the gains to your capital account. 2. When your trading account losses cause that account’s balance to drop to below 25% of the original balance you would top your trading account up from your capital account. This approach of not having all your eggs in one basket is a risk management technique which has been very important to Expert4x over the years. Some traders just mentally split their money into a capital and trading portion of their trading account, but the physical splitting of these amounts is part of the trading psychology and discipline adopted by Expert4x. This becomes even more important when the money that you use to trade is over $100 000. THE MAXIMUM LOT TRADING METHOD In the previous module we used the method of increasing the number of lots in winning streaks and decreasing the numbers of lots in losing streaks. This was quite effective. This method however ignored factors such as how much was at risk during every trade and how trades are financed. For instance if a trader risked 30 pips on one trade and then 100 pips on the next the method of just increasing or decreasing lots could result in lopsided weighting of transactions. The Maximum Lot trading method is a very aggressive trading method that takes the following factors into account. 1 How much the trader is prepared to risk per trade (Stop loss) 2 What margin the trader is using to trade (Margin requirements) 3 The amount of capital the trader is using in the Trading account (Balance on trading account) Using these factors we calculate the maximum number of lots which can be risked on the traders next trade and this calculation is repeated for every trade which follows that one. The objective is to double our trading account as quickly as possible by risking the maximum amount per trade. This sounds highly aggressive but the biggest advantage actually lies when losing streaks are encountered as fewer and fewer numbers of lots are being risked. So lets have a look at a few examples: Lets take the example of a trader with $30 000 available to trade the Forex market. The trader decides to risk 10% of the trading money by putting it in the a mini Trading account. The rest $27 000 stays in the Capital account as discussed above. So his available trading account balance is $ 3 000. The margin requirements per lot are $50 per $10000. (200:1). This means that for every lot traded he will require $50. It is important to realize that margin is not risked or can not be lost during a trade. It is a deposit held by the broker who returns it after the trade. The trader now has identified a trading opportunity to trade the EUR with spread of 2 pips. The stop loss will be 40 pips and the Target will be 60 pips. In order to get the maximum benefit from this trade the trader will have to take a many lots (the maximum) as the trading account balance will allow. So how do we calculate that: For each lot the trader will need $50 for margin, $40 for the stop loss, $2 for the spread and a safety margin should the trade go overnight and incur interest of say of $5. This means that the trader will need $97 for every lot traded. To get the maximum lots that can be traded the trader merely has to divide the trading capital of $3000 by $ 97 to get the maximum lots that can be traded. This gives 30 lots (always round downwards). This means that if successful $ 1 800 will be earned (30 lots x 60 pip target) A return of 60% on the trading balance! If unsuccessful the trader will incur a loss of $ 1 200 (30 lots x 40 pip stop loss) A loss of 40% of the trading balance. Now in the case on the successful trade the trading account balance will be $ 4 800 and if a similar trade is identified the lots for the next trade will be ($4800 / $97) 49 lots. If successful the gain will be (49lots x 60 pips) = $2 940. The trading account will now have a $ 7 740 balance. (A 158% return on the starting balance of $ 3000). So it takes 2 trades to double the trading account. In the case of the unsuccessful trade the trading account balance will be $ 1800 and if a similar trade is identified the lots for the next trade will be ($1800 / $97) 18 lots. If unsuccessful the loss will be (18 lots x 40 pips) = $ 720. The trading account will now have a $ 1 080 balance. (A 64% loss on the starting balance of $ 3000). So it takes 2 trades to double the trading account (+156%) but the loss on 2 unsuccessful trades only results in a 64% loss and does not wipe the account out as maybe thought. In brief: This method allows many, many trades before the trading account is depleted (10% of total money) whereas a very small number of trades allow for the doubling of a Trading account. The above examples can further be enhanced by applying the pip by pip following stop. Assignment: Please continue the process as shown above and calculate 1) What the balance of the trading account will be if 4 successful trades are experienced and 2) What the balance of the trading account will be if 4 unsuccessful trades are experienced. On receipt of the correct answers you will be supplied with details of the next module: Maximum lots trading strategies to leverage gains even more. |
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